Long reads on markets,
built to outlast the cycle.

Frameworks, market history, and the principles behind durable returns — ideas that compound over decades.

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Number of IPOs and average first-day returns per year, 1980-2025 (Source: Jay R. Ritter)
FeaturedJune 17, 20266 min read

What Four Decades of Data Say About IPO Investing

The average IPO delivers a 19% first-day pop. But over 3 to 5 years, most underperform the market. Here's what 40 years of data from Jay Ritter's research says about IPO investing.

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The Library

More long reads on investing

16 blogs
Free Cash Flow explained — what investors track beyond the PE ratio
June 3, 20265 min read

Beyond the PE Ratio: Three Cash Flow Metrics That Serious Investors Actually Use

PE measures reported earnings that can be legally stretched. Free Cash Flow is harder to fake. Here are three FCF-based metrics — growth, per share, and yield — that serious investors rely on.

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S&P 500 long-run chart: survived every major crisis since 1921
May 26, 20264 min read

Geopolitical Crises, Wars, and Panic Selling: 100 Years of Data Shows the S&P 500 Survives Everything

100 years of S&P 500 data shows the market survives every geopolitical crisis — from Pearl Harbor to 9/11 to the Iran war. Here's what the numbers say about staying invested.

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Although efficient-market theory argues against outperformance, earnings sentiment continues to create short-lived opportunities. Here's why markets are efficient in some dimensions but stubbornly not in others.

December 29, 20256 min read

The Case for Beating the Market: Why Earnings Narratives Still Move Prices

Although efficient-market theory argues against outperformance, earnings sentiment continues to create short-lived opportunities. Here's why markets are efficient in some dimensions but stubbornly not in others.

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Chart from Bernanke and Kuttner (2005) showing stock market reaction to unexpected Federal Reserve policy changes
December 11, 20259 min read

How Interest Rates Really Move the Stock Market: A Story of Economics, Expectations, and Everything In Between

Interest rates do far more than raise borrowing costs — they reshape how every future dollar a company earns gets valued today. Here's what history, academic research, and market data actually show.

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In a world overloaded with market noise, the most reliable investing signals still originate from legally required primary documents — 10-Ks, 10-Qs, and earnings calls — and AI makes them even more powerful.

November 26, 20257 min read

Why the Best Trading Signals Still Begin With Primary Sources like 10-Ks and Earnings Calls

In a world overloaded with market noise, the most reliable investing signals still originate from legally required primary documents — 10-Ks, 10-Qs, and earnings calls — and AI makes them even more powerful.

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Three-layer trading signal framework combining earnings sentiment score, price action, and trading volume
October 29, 20255 min read

Building a Robust Trading Signal with AlphaPro's Earnings Sentiment, Price & Volume

By fusing earnings call sentiment scores with price action and trading volume, investors can finally quantify what intuition has always sensed — and build trading signals that are greater than the sum of their parts.

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Gold Just Added $500 in 36 Days: What's Driving the Rally and Who's Buying?
October 15, 20256 min read

Gold Just Added $500 in 36 Days: What's Driving the Rally and Who's Buying?

Gold hit a record $4,179 per ounce in October 2025, adding $500 in just 36 days. Central banks, de-dollarization fears, and retail demand are all contributing -- and historical cycles suggest this run may not be over.

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Why the 'Overdue' Market Correction Still Hasn't Arrived
October 8, 20255 min read

Why the 'Overdue' Market Correction Still Hasn't Arrived

Analysts have predicted a major correction for three years. Yet US stocks keep setting records. Understanding why corrections stay delayed -- and what could finally trigger one -- matters for every investor.

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How Alphapro.ai's Search Function Makes Thematic Investing Easier
September 17, 20255 min read

How Alphapro.ai's Search Function Makes Thematic Investing Easier

Thematic investing -- betting on AI, clean energy, or any megatrend -- is powerful but hard to execute. AlphaPro's search function scans earnings calls to show which companies are actually discussing your theme.

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With the Buffett Indicator at 211%, is a Crash Coming?
September 3, 20256 min read

With the Buffett Indicator at 211%, is a Crash Coming?

The Buffett Indicator -- total market cap to GDP -- sits at 211%, well above the dot-com bubble peak. Here's what that means, what it doesn't mean, and how to think about risk right now.

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Earnings Mysteries: Why the Market Sometimes Moves Opposite to the Headlines
August 20, 20256 min read

Earnings Mysteries: Why the Market Sometimes Moves Opposite to the Headlines

Why does a stock fall after a blowout earnings beat? Understanding 'buy the rumor, sell the news' and raised expectations helps explain the market's seemingly irrational earnings reactions.

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Why Earnings Surprises Don't Always Move the Market Immediately
August 5, 20255 min read

Why Earnings Surprises Don't Always Move the Market Immediately

Earnings beats don't always cause instant price jumps. Post-earnings drift -- where stocks keep moving for weeks after a surprise -- is one of the most well-documented anomalies in finance.

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While We Were Obsessed With Tech, These 3 Sectors Just Outperformed
July 21, 20254 min read

While We Were Obsessed With Tech, These 3 Sectors Just Outperformed

While everyone chased tech and AI stocks, three overlooked sectors quietly outperformed the NASDAQ in 2025. Here's what drove their gains and what investors should know now.

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Why Retail Investors are Still Flying Blind During Earnings Season (and How AlphaPro Changes That)
July 9, 20255 min read

Why Retail Investors are Still Flying Blind During Earnings Season (and How AlphaPro Changes That)

During earnings season, retail investors rely on noise while institutions use Bloomberg terminals and expert networks. AlphaPro bridges that gap by delivering instant, data-driven earnings analysis to everyone.

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How to Use AlphaPro AI's Sentiment Score to Generate Market Alpha
July 2, 20257 min read

How to Use AlphaPro AI's Sentiment Score to Generate Market Alpha

Every earnings call contains hidden sentiment signals most investors miss. AlphaPro AI's sentiment score quantifies those signals so you can generate real market alpha before the crowd catches on.

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AlphaPro.ai's sentiment works as a leading indicator for stock performance
June 10, 20256 min read

Decode Hidden Signals in Earnings Calls Instantly with AlphaPro.ai

Earnings calls contain hidden signals that move stock prices — but most investors miss them. AlphaPro.ai uses agentic AI to analyze sentiment in real time, so you can act before the market does.

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